A recent national poll reveals a highly competitive race between former President Donald Trump and current Vice President Kamala Harris as the two candidates vie for the presidency. Conducted less than two weeks before Election Day, the survey shows Trump holding a slight edge at 48% among registered voters, while Harris follows closely with 46%, making the race within the margin of error.
This narrow 2-point difference between Trump and Harris has remained consistent since earlier polls, suggesting little change in voter sentiment since August. The survey also focused on key battleground states — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin — where Trump leads by a single percentage point, with 48% to Harris’s 47%. Again, this slim lead falls well within the margin of error, indicating an incredibly tight contest in these decisive regions.
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Inflation continues to play a crucial role in shaping voter opinions. According to the poll, 63% of voters report that their family’s income is not keeping up with the rising cost of living, with nearly half of respondents identifying inflation as one of their top concerns for the upcoming election. This issue appears to be more prominent in voters’ minds now compared to previous surveys conducted earlier this year.
The poll also examined voter perceptions of each candidate’s strengths. Harris holds an advantage over Trump on matters of character, leading by 13 points on the question of which candidate possesses the mental and physical fitness necessary for the presidency. Additionally, she has a 10-point lead over Trump on the issue of honesty and trustworthiness.
On the economic front, however, Trump has a clear advantage. He leads Harris by 7 points on which candidate is perceived to better strengthen the economy. Trump also has an 8-point lead on handling taxes and businesses and a 9-point edge on helping small businesses. Furthermore, 42% of voters believe they would be better off financially if Trump were elected, compared to 24% who believe they would fare better under Harris. Another 29% feel their financial situation would remain unchanged regardless of who wins the presidency.
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When asked which candidate would bring about positive change for the country, Harris edges out Trump slightly, with 42% of registered voters choosing her, compared to 40% who favor Trump. Interestingly, 5% of voters believe both candidates would bring positive change, while 9% express pessimism, saying neither Trump nor Harris would improve the nation’s prospects.
In terms of personal popularity, Trump and Harris are relatively close. Nationally, Trump has a 42% favorable rating and a 48% unfavorable rating, giving him a net negative rating of -6. Harris, meanwhile, holds a 39% favorable rating and a 49% unfavorable rating, resulting in a net rating of -10. In the battleground states, their ratings are almost identical, with Trump at 44% favorable and 49% unfavorable, and Harris at 43% favorable and 48% unfavorable, both showing a net rating of -5.
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The poll also explored preferences for congressional control, with 48% of registered voters expressing support for Republicans to take control of Congress, compared to 44% who prefer Democrats. This 4-point lead for Republicans is mirrored in the battleground states, with the same 48% to 44% split in favor of the GOP.
This survey, conducted from October 15 to 19, included responses from 1,000 registered voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. Among the 586 battleground voters, the margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points. The poll results highlight the highly competitive nature of the upcoming election, with both candidates having distinct strengths and areas of concern among voters. The outcome may hinge on how voters in key battleground states perceive issues such as the economy, inflation, and the character of the candidates in the final days leading up to the election.
